By Brian Nichiporuk, John Gordon
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Additional info for Alternative Futures and Their Implications for Army Modernization
The categories shown on this chart remain constant in the next five futures. The essential mission of the Army in this future would be to rapidly deploy for crisis-response missions in various locations around the world. , Iraq) or smaller. There would be no peer-level opponent in this future. We saw a need to modestly increase the Objective Force in this situation. This should result in a capability to rapidly defeat regional opponents. Army XXI units would be reduced by a modest amount. In overall terms, this means that by roughly 2020 one additional division would be converted to Objective Force configuration at the expense of older Army XXI structure.
On the other hand, SOF capabilities would require a very significant increase over today’s levels. These SOF units of the future would be focused on countering the actions of various nonstate organizations. Counter-WMD and C4ISR capabilities would also require modest increases in this future. We determined that TMD, aviation, and deep strike could remain at generally the levels of today, although there would be a need for some reprioritization. This could include refocusing deep strike on missions to engage hostile groups that have been located inside urban areas rather 37 than striking conventional enemy land forces at depth.
A significant investment in Army aviation appears appropriate in all futures, although the investment mix could vary considerably between attack and lift assets. Similarly, the mix of deep strike capabilities could also vary considerably. In some of the futures there might be a need to refocus deep strike systems toward engagements inside urban areas where building penetration and the potential for minimal collateral damage would be of paramount importance, rather than engaging enemy ground combat forces at depth on the battlefield.
Alternative Futures and Their Implications for Army Modernization by Brian Nichiporuk, John Gordon